Bond Review, Inc.

1610 Lyria Rd NW - Albuquerque, NM 87114-4132

(505) 899-8328

info@bondreview.com

(505) 899-4257 (Fax)

Who What News Issues Guest Book Past Elections

September 23, 2003 Statewide Election - Constitutional Amendments 

Bond Review Releases its analysis on Amendments 1 and 2

PDF Amendment Analysis

    Constitutional Amendments

    Amendment 1    Passes     

    Amendment 2    Ahead by under 200 votes

September 23, 2003 Statewide Election - Constitutional Amendments

Amendment 1 is setting up a cabinet level appointed "Secretary of Public Education"

Amendment 1 would create a public education department headed by a cabinet-level “secretary of public education” who would be appointed by the governor [the current superintendent is appointed by the “board of education”] and confirmed by the state senate.  The amendment requires that the appointed secretary be an “experienced educator” but the term is not defined and is seemingly a minor change from the current constitutional requirement of an “experienced educational administrator” that applies to the superintendent of public instruction.

The amendment also proposes a ten member elected public education commission with staggered four-year terms [initially made up of the ten elected members on the current board of education.]  This proposed structure is in contrast to the current 15-member state board of education (10 elected and 5 appointed).  If an elected commissioner moves outside their district their term ends immediately and the governor would fill any vacancies occurring on the commission [no change from the current structure on the board of education.]  The current 5 appointed state board of education members would not be part of the new commission.  Neither does the current superintendent of public instruction necessarily become the new secretary of public education.

Current legislation that addresses the “state department of public education” or the “state board of education” would seemingly become moot and laws addressing such would not necessarily apply to the new entities “public education department” or “public education commission.”  So, any laws referring to the old structure will need to be revised.  The duties and power of the public education commission are undefined.

Amendment 2 would increase the annual payout % of the Land Grant Permanent Fund from 4.7% to 5.8% (23% increase).  The annual Land Grant Permanent Fund results are as follows:

Calendar

Market

Annual

5-Year

5-Year

Annual

Year End

Value

Change

Moving Sum

Moving Ave

Change

31-Dec

Thousands of $

%

(Thousands of $)

(Thousands of $)

%

12/31/1992

$3,827,430

 

 

 

 

12/31/1993

$4,065,810

6.23%

 

 

 

12/31/1994

$3,851,628

-5.27%

 

 

 

12/31/1995

$4,601,725

19.47%

 

 

 

12/31/1996

$4,929,439

7.12%

$21,276,031

$4,255,206

 

12/31/1997

$5,898,605

19.66%

$23,347,206

$4,669,441

9.73%

12/31/1998

$6,901,892

17.01%

$26,183,288

$5,236,658

12.15%

12/31/1999

$7,811,039

13.17%

$30,142,700

$6,028,540

15.12%

12/31/2000

$7,624,359

-2.39%

$33,165,334

$6,633,067

10.03%

12/31/2001

$7,196,182

-5.62%

$35,432,077

$7,086,415

6.83%

12/31/2002

$6,255,967

-13.07%

$35,789,439

$7,157,888

1.01%

Nonrenewable (Oil & Gas)

 

Royalty Income5

% Beginning

 

(In Thousands)

Fiscal Yr Balance

6/30/1998

$129,980

2.38%

6/30/1999

$104,642

1.62%

6/30/2000

$154,732

2.12%

6/30/2001

$288,517

3.64%

6/30/2002

$200,149

2.71%

6/30/2003

$220,417

3.29%

Average

$183,073

2.63%

 

Date

Fund Balance

Average Return

CPI Index

Average Inflation

Real Average Return

06/30/97

$5,464,700

 

160.3

 

 

06/30/03

$6,807,644

4.10%

183.7

2.43%

1.67%

 Bond Review makes the recommendation to VOTE NO on Amendment 2.  Amendment 2 is fatally flawed as written and should be REJECTED by taxpayers.

 Ironically, because of this year’s stock market run-up, the Fund could handle a one-time boost in its payout but to lock in a greatly increased payout year after year until 2016 is unwise and dangerous to the health of the Land Grant Permanent Fund.  Bond Review could support a much smaller increase; say to no more than 5.0% if it contained an instant downside trigger.

 Patrick Lyons, Commissioner of Public Lands, has suggested that rather than taking additional funds from the Land Grant Permanent Fund, funds could be gleaned from the Severance Tax Fund, Medicaid reform, or by closing the state gas tax loophole provided to certain Indian reservations.

 Another solution could be to expand oil and gas exploration on State land and thus increase the annual income from oil and gas royalties.

 Another solution would be to write an amendment that would allow a higher annual payout only if the overall Fund; for example, grew annually 2% more than inflation after the payout.  This would allow the actual performance of the fund to determine the payout.

 Any, or some combination of all, of the alternate solutions would be preferable and wiser than raising, by 23%, the payout of the Land Grant Permanent Fund.

 

October 28, 2003 City Bond Elections, Four Council Seats

  2003 City of Albuquerque Municipal Current Adjusted  Ave % Change Recommendation
PASSED 1 FIRE PROTECTION $6,039,565 $5,614,022 7.58% YES
PASSED 2 SENIOR FAMILY CENTER $9,505,926 $9,780,531 -2.81% YES
PASSED 3 POLICE $8,585,360 $5,674,612 51.29% NO
PASSED 4 PARKS & RECREATION $32,548,197 $20,155,543 61.49% NO
PASSED 5 FACILITIES & EQUIPMENT $14,247,984 $9,380,037 51.90% NO
PASSED 6 LIBRARY $3,756,081 $5,739,645 -34.56% NO
DEFEATED 7 ROAD $52,377,493 $37,903,436 38.19% NO
PASSED 8 PUBLIC TRANSIT $6,443,100 $6,282,568 2.56% YES
PASSED 9 STORM SEWER $11,576,370 $15,954,146 -27.44% YES
PASSED 10 ZOO, BIO PARK & MUSEUM $12,758,384 $7,225,605 76.57% NO
  $157,838,460 $123,710,145 27.59%
 
  2003 City of Albuquerque Municipal Current Estimated Tax % Increase Recommendation
PASSED A  PROPOSITION .25% INCREASE $180,500,000 $26,000,000 14.40% NO

2003 City Election Analysis